Conservative Conservation and the Future of the Republican Party

TO: Jennifer Horn, New Hampshire Republican State Committee Chair, New Hampshire Republican Executive Committee
FROM: Sarah Stewart, Republican Strategist, b-fresh consulting
DATE: October 8, 2015

The 2016 battle lines have been drawn. Maggie Hassan has announced her to run for U.S. Senate, a move that instantly puts Kelly Ayotte’s re-election campaign into high gear and opens up vast opportunities down ballot. Fortifying Ayotte’s position of strength will help our Party make gains…even in a Presidential year in a purple state.

Every four years America turns its focus to New Hampshire’s First-In-The-Nation Primary as the premier vetting ground for candidates vying to occupy the most powerful office in the world. Along with a desire for the attention of presidential candidates and primary voters, also comes a valuable opportunity to strengthen our party and showcase the Granite State’s Republican Leadership on a national platform. Our state’s leaders have a history of standing up for common sense, conservative conservation reforms because they represent good policy and good politics. Most importantly, continued support of — and adherence to — free market solutions that strengthen domestic energy production, our national security, and the quality of our natural environment is likely to play a critical role in benefiting New Hampshire Republicans in 2016.

THE DATA

The research is clear: Republican voters and debate viewers are ready for more robust GOP leadership on climate change, clean energy and the environment.

Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions (CRES) regularly polls Republican and Republican-leaning voters to gauge their attitudes towards clean energy, climate change, and the importance of securing America’s energy future. To date they have surveyed over 14,000 voters nationally and in key states. Earlier this year, CRES commissioned TargetPoint Consulting — the firm that managed data analytics for Mitt Romney’s presidential campaign — led by Alex Gage to conduct a statewide microtarget survey and analysis of 3,000 likely New Hampshire Republican Primary voters (moe +/- 1.8%). The polls focused on these voters’ attitudes towards energy and environmental issues.

What we found was fascinating.

While some Republicans have feared that any discussion of climate change is political suicide, the reality is quite different. More than half (53%) of New Hampshire Republican primary voters approved of Senator Kelly Ayotte’s recent support of an amendment stating that climate change is real and significantly impacted by human activity. Furthermore, more than half of New Hampshire respondents said they would be more likely or just as likely to support a candidate for president that believed that humans contribute significantly to global climate change.

A strong majority (57%) of New Hampshire Republican primary voters favor the federal government taking steps to reduce emissions that cause global climate change.

More than half (53%) of First-In-The-Nation Republican primary voters support placing greater emphasis on diversifying our energy sources to include wind, solar, and hydropower.

Nearly 6 out of 10 (59%) New Hampshire Millennial Republicans, those under the age of 35, believe elected leaders should place a greater emphasis on producing renewable energy. More than two-thirds (67%) of New Hampshire Millennial voters support actions by the federal government to limit carbon emissions.

Focusing on the need for responsible development of home grown and harvested natural energy resources isn’t only good policy, but clearly it’s something that New Hampshire primary voters are poised to reward at the polls.